Hurricane Irma's turn will define if Tampa or Miami gets strong storm

Category 5 storm crushing parts of Cuba with 160 mph winds

MIAMI – The National Hurricane Center warned Hurricane Irma's turn north Saturday will be definitive. It will determine whether Tampa or Miami will get the strongest hit of the storm.

If it turns towards Miami, then Tampa residents will experience a Category 1-2 storm, and Miami will get the brunt of a Category 4-5 -- or vice versa. 

By late Friday night, Irma regained strength as a Category 5 storm with winds of 160-mph winds  over Cuba. Forecasters expect the storm to be near the Florida Keys on Sunday morning and approach the state’s southwest coast by that afternoon.

Officials warned more than 5 million people that time was running out Friday night to evacuate ahead of the deadly hurricane, which was going to travel over one end of the state to the other.

"It's better to be safe than sorry," Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez said about abiding by the evacuation orders. 

Edward Rappaport, the NHC acting director, said the main concern for Florida is storm surge. 

Gimenez said the evacuation orders were related to flooding. The advisory warned the deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge and large breaking waves will raise water levels. 

"I will probably inconvenience some people, but I want to make sure they will be safe," Gimenez said

Forecasters adjusted the storm’s potential track more toward the west coast of Florida, away from the Miami metropolitan area of 6 million people, meaning "a less costly, a less deadly storm," University of Miami researcher Brian McNoldy said.

Nevertheless, forecasters warned that its hurricane-force winds were so wide they could reach from coast to coast, testing the nation’s third-largest state, which has undergone rapid development and more stringent hurricane-proof building codes in the last decade or so.

"This is a storm that will kill you if you don’t get out of the way," National Hurricane Center meteorologist Dennis Feltgen said. 'Everybody’s going to feel this one."


About the Authors

Betty Davis is the chief certified meteorologist for Local 10. She provides weather forecasts for South Florida Monday-Friday during the 4, 6 and 11 p.m. newscasts. 

The Emmy Award-winning journalist joined the Local 10 News team in 2013. She wrote for the Miami Herald for more than 9 years and won a Green Eyeshade Award.

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