Disturbance to emerge over the southwestern Gulf Friday
A robust tropical disturbance moving through Belize, northeastern Guatemala, and the Yucatán Peninsula of southeastern Mexico is headed toward the Bay of Campeche and extreme southwestern Gulf of Mexico, where it’s set to emerge briefly Friday and Saturday.
Never say never, but hurricane season appears to be winding down
The rain in Central America is not going to let up quickly because the cold front that came through Florida will be in the vicinity as well. In addition, a Tropical Disturbance in the extreme southern Caribbean Sea will pull additional moisture over Central America and northern Colombia. It’s a broad low-pressure area at this point, and it has a very slight chance of developing into a tropical depression. Since all of the systems involved are moving slowly, the strong winds off the ocean will continue through the week. It’s unlikely to amount to much, though it has a slight chance of padding the 2020 stats.
Increasingly wet and windy weather from Eta-reborn coming toward South Florida
The atmospheric environment over the developing system will be conducive for a new tropical storm to form. Once again, it would be called Tropical Storm Eta because it formed out of the broad rotation related to the original storm. But it’s clear that the flow from south to north over the storm will stretch the moisture toward the Florida peninsula. The National Weather Service has issued a Flood Watch for metropolitan South Florida – 6 to 10 inches of rain are forecast over the next several days. To boil this down, in South Florida, a several-day stretch of windy and rainy weather is forecast to start late today.
Tropical Depression 25 forms in the western Caribbean
Tropical Depression 25 has formed out of the tropical disturbance we have been following in the extreme western Caribbean Sea. If it continues to organize, and it strengthens so that sustained winds are at least 40 mph, it will be called Tropical Storm Gamma. The upper-level winds are conducive for Tropical Depression #25 to organize and strengthen. A dip in the jet stream will reach into the Gulf of Mexico over the next couple of days. In any case, everything in the Caribbean is moving slowly, so we shouldn’t get a sudden surprise in South Florida.
Hurricane Nana hits Belize, then dissipates over Guatemala
PUNTA GORDA – Hurricane Nana made landfall in Belize, pelting a relatively sparsely populated stretch of the country's coast with heavy rain and wind, before weakening while pushing across Guatemala and dissipating late Thursday. The U.S. National Hurricane Center reported that Nana hit land between the coastal towns of Dangriga and Placencia in the early minutes of Thursday at an area around 50 miles (80 kilometers) south of Belize City with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (120 kph), making it barely a hurricane. Nana weakened to a tropical depression with maximum sustained winds near 35 mph (55 kph) by late in the afternoon, and dissipated during the night near Guatemala's border with Mexico. Guatemala reported heavy rains, especially along that border, but the country's national disaster coordinator reported no deaths and said no one had been moved to shelters. Long lines stretched through supermarkets and hardware store shelves were nearly bare as residents of Belize bought materials to board up windows and doors.
Hurricane Nana makes landfall while the tropics hit pause for a few days
The storm intensified to hurricane strength in the last few hours before reaching the coast as predicted by National Hurricane Center forecasters. The slightly hostile upper winds let up and gave the tiny storm a short window to intensify. Tropical Storm Nana: 8 a.m. Thursday advisory. Its fighting the dry air and hostile upper winds, but hanging together. Over the next few days, it will slowly make a move to the west and has a good chance of organizing into a tropical depression or tropical storm.
Nana to hit Central America at or near hurricane strength tonight
Tropical Storm Nana is speeding west in the Caribbean. Small-diameter storms like Nana can quickly change their intensity up or down so residents in the western Caribbean need to stay aware. Tropical Storm Nana: 8 a.m. Wednesday advisory. Tropical Storm Omar: 5 a.m. Wednesday advisory. In a few days, the Combo Disturbance may in some fashion interact with laggard Tropical Disturbance #1 in terms of each affecting the others track.
Nana strengthens into hurricane as it barrels toward Belize
MEXICO CITY Hurricane Nana barreled westward Wednesday just off the coast of Honduras on a collision course with the Central American nation of Belize, where thousands of people were stocking up on food, water and construction materials. Long lines stretched through supermarkets and hardware store shelves were nearly bare as residents of Belize bought materials to board up windows and doors ahead of Nana's expected landfall early Thursday as a hurricane. The U.S. National Hurricane Center reported that Nana was located about 60 miles (95 kilometers) southeast of Belize City with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (120 kph), making it a hurricane. Belize issued a hurricane warning for its coastline. Heavy rains were expected in Belize, as well as in northern Honduras and throughout Guatemala as the storm crosses the isthmus Thursday.
Nana Inland Over Northern Guatemala
Location 150 miles NNE of Guatemala City Guatemala Wind 60 mph Heading WSW at 15 mph Pressure 29.53 Coordinates 89.7W, 16.6NDiscussionAt 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nana was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 89.7 West. On the forecast track, Nana will continue to move inland over Guatemala and extreme southeastern Mexico today and tonight. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Tropics Models at 3:10 Thursday Night, September 03rdLand HazardsWIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue in the warning area in Guatemala for a few more hours. STORM SURGE: Water levels along the Belize coast will gradually subside through the morning as Nana moves farther inland.