Tropics Watch

Tropics Watch Potential

For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2020. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

Posted 3 months ago by NHC Forecaster Forecaster Beven

Tropics Watch Satellite

Special Features.

Caribbean Sea Gale Warning

Tight pressure gradient between low pressure centered over north Colombia and high pressure centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas will continue to supports nightly gales pulsing off the coast of Colombia through at least mon night. Seas may reach near 12 ft during each early morning. Please read the latest high seas forecast: miahsfat2/ fznt02 kNHC, the latest offshore forecast: miaoffnt3/fznt23 kNHC, or go to the website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, from the NWS National Hurricane Center, for more details.

Monsoon Trough/ITCZ

The Monsoon Trough passes through the coastal sections of Liberia near 11W near the border with Sierra Leone, to 14W, and to 16W. The ITCZ continues from 16W, to 18W, 20W, 23W, and to 32W. Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is located within 90 nm either side of both The Monsoon Trough and the ITCZ.

Gulf of Mexico

High pressure center has shifted east of the area overnight, although it continues to dominate Gulf weather. Return southeast flow in advance of a weak cold front will reach fresh to strong levels across portions of the central and western Gulf today. This front will move off the tx coast late this afternoon, then stall sun along the north Gulf coast, and finally lift north as a warm front mon. Another cold front will move off the tx coast tue, then cross the north Gulf into wed.

Caribbean Sea

Please see the above special features section for information on gales off the coast of Colombia.

The strong pressure gradient mentioned above will lead to fresh to strong winds across much of the central Caribbean as well as Gulf of Honduras through at least mon. Seas in the south-central Caribbean will reach 8 to 10 ft by sun, when the gradient will be tightest. The pressure gradient will relax toward the middle of next week, and conditions will improve.

Scattered showers are moving quickly west in the trade winds over the east Caribbean, and this pattern will prevail into early next week.

Atlantic Ocean

A cold front is located from 48W to 63W, with a stationary front continuing southwest to Puerto Rico. Scattered thunderstorms are along the cold front. This front will move today and gradually dissipate on sun. Northwest swell behind the front is leading to an area of 8 to 10 ft seas to the north of 25N. Also behind the front resides a 1020 mb high pressure centered near 71W. This ridge will remain in place through early next week. Farther east, a 1024 mb high pressure centers near 37W. This ridge is leading to moderate to fresh trade winds to the south of the ridge, leading to an area of 7 to 9 ft seas.

A second cold front will move off the southeast U.S. Coast early on Monday. Strong southwest winds are expected north of 25N, from Tuesday night into Wednesday, in advance of the next cold front. Strong northwest winds are expected behind the front, with the sea heights ranging from 8 to 11 ft.

Posted 2 hours ago by NHC Forecaster Konarik

Tropics Watch Sea Temperature