Fernand, the 6th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, formed on Saturday over the open Atlantic southeast of Bermuda, but hooked quickly east of Bermuda on Sunday on a path out to sea.
Fernand has mostly struggled as a tropical storm and its window for strengthening is rapidly closing. Though the National Hurricane Center forecasts slight strengthening today, Fernand will stay below hurricane strength and isn’t expected to survive past mid-week as it accelerates into the North Atlantic graveyard.
99L zooms harmlessly west
The tropical wave designated Invest 99L by the National Hurricane Center is moving into the eastern Caribbean this morning.
Though the disturbance has at times looked healthy along its journey between Africa and the Caribbean, it was never able to gather enough steam to get the upgrade to a tropical depression or named storm. Hurricane hunters investigating 99L Sunday found it remained an open wave without a closed circulation and since then the system has largely fallen apart.
Models have backed off any development chances with 99L, and strong high-pressure steering to the north will bury it into Central America by late Wednesday or Thursday.
Tropical Atlantic takes a breather
After its most sluggish start to a hurricane season through July in 16 years, the Atlantic quickly made up for lost time since the beginning of August, with overall activity rocketing to above average levels.
The good news is overall conditions are expected to become much less conducive to activity in the tropical Atlantic for the next week or two. By around the second week of September, the Madden-Julian Oscillation or MJO is forecast to come back around to the Atlantic side, which is when I’d expect activity to kick up in earnest again.
For now, we’ll need to watch for the occasional low-pressure system that tries to form along fall fronts, which will become more common in the weeks ahead.
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