Ian'S Heavy Rains Continue Across The Central Appalachians And Mid-Atlantic

Post-Tropical Cyclone

Tropics Forecast Cone at 4:41 Saturday Night, October 01st

Location 30 miles S of Greensboro North Carolina
Wind 35 mph
Heading NNW at 12 mph
Pressure 29.56
Coordinates 79.8W, 35.7N

Discussion

At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian was located near latitude 35.7 North, longitude 79.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the north with a decrease in forward speed is expected later today. On the forecast track, the center of Ian is expected to move northward across central North Carolina this morning and reach south-central Virginia by this afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring over the waters east of North Carolina and Virginia. Additional weakening is expected, and Ian is forecast to dissipate over south-central Virginia by tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).

Tropics Satellite at 6:13 Saturday Morning, October 01st

Watches and Warnings

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Tropics Models at 4:11 Saturday Night, October 01st

Land Hazards

Key messages for Ian can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml.

WIND: Gusty winds are expected to continue across portions of the central and southern Appalachians through this morning.

RAINFALL: Ian is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches with local maxima of 6 inches across portions of the Central Appalachians and coastal Mid-Atlantic.

Major to record river flooding will continue across central Florida through next week. Limited flash, urban and small stream flooding is possible across the central Appalachians and the southern Mid-Atlantic this weekend, with minor river flooding expected over the coastal Carolinas.

SURF: Swells generated by Ian are affecting the coast of the southeastern United States and the northwestern Bahamas but should gradually subside over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.